42 | 2019 QBR: 57.7 in five games "If you asked me whether I preferred to play Cam, Andy Dalton or Gardner, I'd say Gardner," an NFL assistant coach said. Few veteran quarterbacks would be a better fit for this team than Derek Carr. His strengths are mobility and The team spent big free-agent capital on former Lions wide receiver Kenny Golladay and also used a first-round pick on Florida wide receiver Kadarius Toney, after missing out on Alabama's DeVonta Smith. "He found a way to make plays late in games for Jacksonville. Stroud and Kentucky's Will Levis. Jimmy Garoppolo is one of the more intriguing free agent quarterbacks available right now. The Giants are confident that Daniel Jones will be their starting quarterback in 2023. Daniel Jones Draft and Combine Prospect Profile Kliff Kingsbury's offense provides Murray with a full route tree to utilize, along with heavy doses of play-action and multiple weapons. 1 overall pick Kyler Murray. The Titans seem to be moving in a new direction after cutting several veterans including left tackle Taylor Lewan and wide receiver Robert Woods en route to creating $35+ million in additional cap space. Factor in some quality pass-catchers in Garrett Wilson and Elijah Moore and this team is a shoo-in playoff contender with Carr running the show. At his end-of-season press conference in January, Giants general manager Joe Schoen all but admitted he would use the franchise tender on Jones if forced to choose. It also will be nice to have Barkley not limited coming back from his knee injuryand seeing closer to 25 touches a game vs.only a dozen. An important context to keep in mind is that the projection lines in the plots above only represent the best guess, i.e., mean projection. Thats $38.89 million, for a two-year take of $71.31 million. We have the data for each class going back to 2007, so we can calculate the same forecasts for all rookie quarterbacks in that 13-year window. I laid out a more detailed explanation about the methodology behind this analysis in a previous article when I applied it to the 2017 quarterback class. The truth is that the Giants' offense didn't help Jones much. All rights reserved. A source familiar with body-composition testing at the combine said the results on Haskins (6-3 3/8, 231) were the worst among the QBs. After failing to distinguish himself for the Jets, Smith bounced around the league and languished on several benches. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. The only quarterback worse than Haskins in terms of EPA forecast is Josh Rosen, who Im declaring a bust already despite not having finished out his rookie deal. How will New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones, the No. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. However, negotiations with Jones have been difficult, per reports, and the Giants are doing research on quarterback prospects at this weeks Scouting Combine, seemingly as a contingency plan. While he was inaccurate at times, he ranked ninth in QBR (71.5) against man coverage among the 37 quarterbacks with at least 200 action plays. If it did, we wouldnt have contract offers out to both of them. Regardless, New Orleans' front office should be able to find enough funds to land the Pro Bowl quarterback the team has needed since Drew Brees' retirement. The Raiders plan to place the franchise tag on running back Josh Jacobs if the sides cannot come to a deal on a long-term extension by Tuesday's deadline, NFL Network Insider Tom Pelissero reported Friday. And I started calling myself Cam Jackson in the 11th grade, just trying to make big plays.". 15. The team parted ways with veteran cornerback James Bradberry last offseason knowing it would have to deal with the consequences. Murray is largely in the clear, but the rest of the 2019 class is in the thick of bust territory. Minshews rookie performance has dug his forecast out of a substantial draft-position hole, but he still trails the first-round picks who had lower passing grades as rookies. He led the team to a Super Bowl after the 2019 campaign and took the squad back to the NFC Championship Game two years later. Bills pass rusher Von Miller attended the 2023 NFL Scouting Combine this week in Indianapolis in hopes of jump-starting his plans for a second-career as a general manager. He's been a steady hand for the Raiders over the better part of the last decade and could revitalize his career in Carolina. Jones would present an intriguing option for the Falcons. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: nfl | pageType: stories | Daniel Jones draft, revisited: Why Giants QB is on the brink of being a big 2019 NFL Draft bust, Breaking down Daniel Jones' career turnover tendencies, NFL's coaching hot seat index after Week 1. After a pair of shaky seasons, Giants quarterback Daniel Jones looks to have reestablished himself as the hurler of the present and future for Big Blue. Anthony Richardson, Florida = Cam Newton: Both possess rare size and athleticism. Rather than languish through a potential lost season in 2023, the Titans could ink a veteran like Smith to serve as a high-end bridge quarterback. Alabama's Bryce Young is considered by many to be the top quarterback in this 2023 class, and former Minnesota Vikings general manager Rick Spielman compared him to the Super Bowl LVII MVP earlier this week on CBS Sports' new "With the First Pick" podcast. NFL and the NFL shield design are registered trademarks of the National Football League.The team names, logos and uniform designs are registered trademarks of the teams indicated. Washington gave a young player minimal chance to succeed. No. If the Falcons want to start winning games regularly again in 2023, there's no better free-agent quarterback for the club than Garoppolo. The browser you are using is no longer supported on this site. Jump into a draft >>, "He's got something to him, man," one veteran NFL quarterback said. On the positive side, Jones did have an acceptable TD:INT ratio of 24 to 12 and also directed two Manning-like game-winning drives as a rookie. Evaluators say they love Lock's arm and moxie, but he must prove he can read defenses consistently. Only five quarterbacks Aaron Rodgers, Russell Wilson, Kyler Murray, Deshaun Watson, and Patrick Mahomes have reached that annual salary. These play-by-play grades are the foundation of the first section of the rookie quarterback forecasts. Gardner Minshew II showed enough to earn a starting job with a rebuilding Jacksonville Jaguars, while Drew Lock is well-stocked in Denver, and Jarrett Stidham has no promises in New England. "He's got some magic to him." He did lose another fumble in Week 1, but he looked more comfortable and confident in what's around him and also used his legs well again for a second TD. All Rights Reserved. If Jackson desires to play for a contender, the Falcons would be the favorites in the NFC South as soon as he signed and would have a leg up on their divisional foes for the foreseeable future. While there is still a chance Davis Mills evolves into a serviceable starter, the second-year quarterback underwhelmed last season and will likely drive Houston to select a prized prospect near the top of the 2023 draft. Top QB in draft: I definitely don't want to play for 1 team Daniel Jones actually wants more than $45M per. While the Ravens roster isn't perfectly constructed right now, adding some receiving talent and simply staying healthy will put this squad in the upper echelon of the league. With Tannehill in a new destination via either trade or release, Tennessee would only have one quarterback on its roster: 2022 third-round selection Malik Willis. How Cardinals QB Kyler Murray got bigger but stayed fast for Year 2, The best (and worst) NFL QBs at everything. The team also showed it can run the ball under head coach Josh McDaniels, whose system helped Josh Jacobs win the 2022 rushing crown. Pick: No. "Using my hips. Pick: No. 4 quarterback, behind Alabama's Bryce Young, Ohio State's C.J. Spielman and host Ryan Wilson also handed out their comparisons for the other top quarterbacks in the class. The team successfully executed a massive turnaround on that side of the ball, ranking No. Where Giants, QB Daniel Jones currently stand on contract terms Stroud, Ohio State = Jared Goff: Both prospects were accurate, and possess the necessary arm talent to make all of the throws. Smith's success with the Seahawks last year was unprecedented and he would be wise to stick with the squad that he broke out with after being written off for years. Given that tepid showing and a desire to finally contend again in the post-Matt Ryan era, the Falcons should have plenty of interest in Jackson this offseason. Making a move too early is better than too late, just ask the Cardinals brass, who gave an early hook to Josh Rosen after he produced the second-worst post-rookie forecast since 2007. In all likelihood, the Giants will forego any opportunity to draft a quarterback prospect with one of their top picks. The New York Giants are reportedly doing their due diligence on the quarterback class ahead of the 2023 NFL Draft. Stat to know from ESPN Stats & Information: Lock posted a 94.3 QBR when facing a blitz last year, a number that ranked second in the NFL in 2019, behind only Derek Carr. Spielman and host Ryan Wilson also handed out their comparisons for the other top quarterbacks in the class. However, the landscape is a bit more troubling for Jones, Minshew and Haskins. Its unclear whether new Titans OC Tim Kelly can foster the same type of environment or whether Tennessee would require Jones to overcome its offensive deficiencies. Chris Raybon ranks seven quarterbacks of the past three draft classes by their franchise QB potential. This includes the combine's marquee event, the 40-yard dash. Our exclusive database, featuring the most in-depth collection of NFL player performance data. WebSep 17, 2018: Patriots traded 2019 5th round pick (170th overall, Austin Seibert) to Browns for Josh Gordon and 2019 7th round pick (243rd overall subsequently traded, Nick Scott) Mike Evans and Chris Godwin represent dream targets for any quarterback. The team has managed to hover around .500 consistently in the Ron Rivera era despite a revolving door of ineffective veterans and backup quarterbacks under center. I'm still not sure and he's gotta prove it, but we're gonna see what he does with those weapons -- big-time weapons.". The Cleveland Browns and New York Jets had to rebuild the position in the offseason to help their quarterbacks. Stroud, Ohio State = Jared Goff: Both prospects were accurate, and possess the necessary arm talent to make all of the throws. The Seahawks may not see Smith as their long-term answer, but he can still keep this squad afloat and a tough team to beat if he continues playing at the same level. The Giants drafted Jones and finally saw him blossom into a quality starter last year. Most of the successful rookie quarterbacks produced forecasts in the upper half of the plot post-rookie season, with Lamar Jackson, Jared Goff and Derek Carr being the only successes below Minshew and Jones. Garrett's plan was to go with the run-heavy offense he operated in Dallas with Ezekiel Elliott, only with Barkley as the new versatile workhorse. Widely projected as a first-round draft pick, Richardson entered the combine as NFL Draft analyst Daniel Jeremiah's No. The Panthers accomplished that feat despite deploying a revolving door of subpar signal-callers. New head coach Ron Rivera offers stability, and a team source said Haskins spent significant time in the facility this offseason working out and communicating with coaches and players while rehabbing an ankle injury. Thomas played well against a tough Denver pass rush, but Solder was a disaster in his return, a shell of his former Patriots self at age 33. The larger landscape of rookie performance shows a clear bias toward those who start strongly to become the franchise quarterback teams need to succeed. Where they sign will shape not only their futures, but the power structure of the league. Here's who Spielman had: C.J. Shepard, a good hands route-runner who can boost any QB when healthy (see Week 1), missed 10 games the past two seasons. While his touchdown numbers weren't amazinghe only threw 15 in 16 gameshe limited his mistakes, throwing just five interceptions after coming into the season with 29 over his first 38 contests. On Thursday, Schoen told NFL Network that things ramped up pretty quick with Jones new representation but also suggested that a contract agreement was not imminent. The team has made it clear it desires the veteran quarterback and has been making a series of moves to free up finances for a potential contract offer. The Giants also got a stronger backup for Barkley in former Bronco and Raider Devontae Booker and reinforced the complementary blocking and receiving at tight end with former Viking Kyle Rudolph. A second-round pick is not guaranteed to succeed, so cornerback is one position New York could afford to be volume shooters in this draft class. Even after benching Wilson and replacing him with Mike White, the Jets couldn't find a way to consistently manufacture yardage and scores after prized rookie back Breece Hall tore his ACL. Pick: No. New York is in deep negotiations with QB Daniel Jones, looking to extend the 25-year-old and solidify him as their franchise quarterback. Can the two sides agree on an extension? Daniel Jones draft, revisited: Why Giants QB is on the brink of being a big 2019 NFL Draft bust Vinnie Iyer 7 min read The first-round of the 2019 NFL Draft has What Will the Giants Do With Daniel Jones Like the Falcons, the Raiders have plenty of space ($48.4 million) to make meaningful additions this offseason. While we dont know everything about a young quarterback after just his rookie season, we do at least know some things. 14 overall player and No. The only quarterbacks ahead of him were Patrick Mahomes, Russell Wilson, Deshaun Watson and Aaron Rodgers. Giants GM Dave Gettleman, who was under initial heat for making the high pick on Jones, did his best to improve things around his QB beyond the budding Thomas this offseason. The 31-year-old could have similar success in Atlanta. Murrays range of outcomes based on passing efficiency according to EPA per dropback is separated from the others, but theres still a lot of overlap between all the quarterbacks. 3: Houston Texans. The team has also some promising wideoutsincluding 2022 first-rounder Treylon Burkswho could see their development sped up working with Smith. That's exactly what happened in 2020, when Minshew heard all offseason that he would be replaced by Cam Newton or Andy Dalton. Ranking the NFL's top 10 QBs for 2020: Who follows Patrick Mahomes? Stat to know from ESPN Stats & Information: While no defense is showing its schematic hand in the preseason, Stidham showed at least a glimmer of arm talent in his work last August. The plot below shows the progression of the passing grade Bayesian forecast for every rookie quarterback from 2007-2019 with at least 200 dropbacks. Panthers impressed by Derek Carr visit Kyler Murray discusses the next steps in his maturation as an NFL quarterback, plus the confidence he has in the Cardinals competing in the NFC West. Giants QB options for 2022: Daniel Jones, Russell Wilson, draft The main question is whether the Bucs want to try to keep the ship afloat with a proven signal-caller at the helm or tear things down and rebuild. A true dual-threat quarterback who was listed by Florida at 6-foot-4, 232 pounds, Richardson has a simple target on the stopwatch. Kansas City Chiefs general manager Brett Veach acknowledged this week at the 2023 NFL Scouting Combine the work that needs to be done to get under the salary cap. 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Veteran Kyle Allen believes he's got a legitimate chance to start, but if Haskins improves his play like he improved his physique, he should have the inside track. Haskins range is not as tall and therefore wider than the rest because we know the least about him after having the fewest dropbacks as a rookie. New York's interior offensive line needs to improve. Jones $8.3 million cap charge ranks a reasonable No. Yet there are some rookies with promising beginnings who didnt end up as successes players like Robert Griffin III, Marcus Mariota and Sam Bradford. Daniel Jones WebDaniel Jones threw for 336 passing yards in his first NFL start and won the game. The Titans essentially gave up on Willis after he struggled in three starts, turning things over to journeyman Joshua Dobbs, who at least looked competent in two starts of his own. He should test well at the NFL Combine but had limited ball production in Lexington. Like us on Facebook to see similar And several evaluators peg DeAndre Hopkins as the perfect player for Murray because he can work out of the slot or outside and is good on second reaction plays, ideal for a quarterback throwing on the move. Quarterback Mike White said he'd like to return to the New York Jets, but knows it might not happen as he heads toward free agency. So that's a big concern I think with a lot of teams.". Garoppolo was originally expected to be a successor to Tom Brady for the New England Patriots, and while that never panned out, he could end up succeeding the future Hall of Famer as the next starting quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Copyright 2019-2023. The following browsers are supported: Chrome, Edge (v80 and later), Firefox and Safari. Jones offers a different skill set. Theres no Desmond Ridder on the Raiders roster. In the 2019 draft, three quarterbacks were selected in the first round: Heisman Trophy winner Kyler Murray at first overall, Daniel Jones at No. Were hoping we dont get to where its one or the other. While Carr isn't coming off his best season, he still managed to earn a Pro Bowl nod after completing 60.8 percent of his passes for 3,522 yards and 24 touchdowns. He was locked back into Slayton and Shepard, too. ", What will define Eric Bieniemy's success? Kyler Murray striving to be elite in 2nd season (2:39). When we run the same analysis using passing efficiency as measured by EPA Murray separates himself from the other rookies. All Rights Reserved. Now in his third year, it has been hard to decipher whether Joness flaws are definitive or if they are the result of other factors. 6 and Dwayne Haskins NFL Draft 2023: Pro comparisons for top QBs prospects, General manager Joe Schoen is doubling down at the cornerback position. Visit NFL.com's transaction hub for a daily breakdown. Jacksonville traded away many of its good players but still has enough to compete. Murray is in the same area as the successes who performed better in terms of EPA than PFF grade, and those successes include Dak Prescott and Deshaun Watson. 4 overall pick Andrew Thomas may be turning a corner in Year 2 to help at left tackle, he also wasn't there when Jones arrived. Jahmyr Gibbs, RB. Several personnel evaluators believe tight end Noah Fant and wide receiver Courtland Sutton are top-10 players at their position right now. Widely projected as a first-round draft pick, Richardson entered the combine as NFL Draft analyst Daniel Jeremiah's No. 4 in both yards allowed and scoring just a season after finishing dead last in both categories. We can use Bayesian updating and what we know about the variance of quarterback performance to also produce a range of outcomes for each quarterback. Hamilton says Mercedes a long way off pace, Ten Hag must learn from Mourinho to ensure Man United's Carabao Cup win is just the start, Betting tips for Week 26 English Premier League games and more, Transfer Talk: Bayern still keen on Kane despite new Choupo-Moting deal. Turner has the fastest time of this year's draft class so far. Here's who Spielman had: C.J. With recent restructures to both Marcus Maye and Erik McCoy's contracts, the Saints have been steadily opening up cap room to ink Carr. Keep in mind when viewing these results that higher-drafted quarterbacks have an advantage with their forecasts, so a very strong rookie performer like Russell Wilson wont look nearly as strong as a weaker one like Andrew Luck due to the massive difference in draft status. What we know about Kyler Murray, Daniel Jones and the rest of 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. His Bayesian forecast doesn't best his fellow first-rounders because he had fewer dropbacks (245) than both Murray (620) and Jones (527), but if Haskins continues to outperform with more volume, his forecast will separate from the others in 2020. Geno Smith didn't pan out for the New York Jets the first time around, but he could be exactly what the franchise needs almost a decade later. 3: Houston Texans. New league weeks start every Thursday with TNF kickoff. He has flashed big-play capabilities but will need to become more reliable to reach his full potential. quarterbacks It is highly recommended that you use the latest versions of a supported browser in order to receive an optimal viewing experience.